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The Real Estate Market is Slowing, 5.75% Mortgages in Florida
• 46 minJoin our free Florida income properties webinar on Monday, November 27th for 5.75% mortgage rates at: GREwebinars.com Home prices are up 4.5% annually through Q3. It’s the fastest growth rate in months. Three out of ten renters are now age 55+, the most ever. Older renters are good for you: lower turnover, more quiet, more savings & income, and lower regulation compared to assisted living. Overall US population growth is slowing, from 1.2% a generation ago to 0.5% today. It’s expected to grow until 2080. I discuss the DOJ crackdown on the NAR and real estate commissions. 1.6 million real estate agents could lose their jobs. Apartment building rate caps have become super-expensive. One of our real estate Investment Coaches, Naresh, joins us from Florida. Naresh tells us how to get 5.75% mortgage rates on new-build Florida income property at GREwebinars.com Resources mentioned: Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/476 Join our Florida properties webinar, free, Nov. 27th at 8:30 PM ET at: www.GREwebinars.com For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I’d be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” Top Properties & Providers: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREmarketplace.com/Coach Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE’ to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Keith’s personal Instagram: @keithweinhold Timestamps: The housing market stats (00:02:52) Discussion about the current state of the housing market, including the 45% increase in home prices and the reasons for continued home price support. Home price appreciation forecasts (00:05:28) Talks about the predictions for future home price appreciation, with both CoreLogic and NAR expecting a 26% rise in home prices next year. The impact of older renters (00:10:08) Explains why older renters are desirable for property owners and landlords, highlighting their lower turnover rate and stability. The Aging Population and Older Renters (00:11:15) Discusses the benefits of older renters, such as lower mobility, more savings and income, and low regulation. US Population Projection and Immigration (00:12:30) Examines the projected population decline in the US by 2100 and the importance of immigration for continued growth. Housing Demand and Household Size (00:17:12) Explores the trend of fewer people living in each household and its impact on housing demand. The timestamp's title (00:22:05) Rising Costs of Rate Caps for Apartment Buildings Discussion on how the cost of rate caps for larger apartment buildings has become prohibitively expensive. The timestamp's title (00:25:23) Real Estate Market Trends and Slowdown Insights on the current state of the real estate market, including a slowdown in November and leveling off of home values and rents. The timestamp's title (00:28:28) Opportunity in Real Estate Market in 2024 Predictions for the real estate market in 2024, including a potential bottoming out of the market and a decrease in mortgage rates. The decline in home values and the health of the economy (00:32:58) Discussion on the decline in home values and the health of the economy, with reference to the 2008 financial crisis and current housing supply. Short-term rentals and the potential for a decline (00:34:14) Exploration of the decline in short-term rentals due to a decrease in travel and corporate expenses. The impact of mortgage interest rates on home prices (00:35:19) Analysis of the relationship between mortgage interest rates, economic slowdowns, and home prices, with a focus on potential rate cuts and their effects on the housing market. The Florida In-Migration Stat (00:43:53) Florida's astounding population growth and becoming the second most valuable property market in the US. The Rate Buy Down Courtesy of the Builders (00:44:23) Explaining the options of a 5.75% rate or the 2-2-4 program for property buyers in Florida. Disclaimer and Closing (00:46:02) A disclaimer about the show and a mention of the sponsor, Get Rich Education. Complete Episode Transcript: Speaker 1 (00:00:01) - Welcome to I'm your host Keith Weinhold told how price appreciation is up 4.5%, but there are signs that it is slowing down. Finally, learn more about our upcoming live event that you can join from the comfort of your own home today on get Rich education. When you want the best real estate and finance info. The modern internet experience limits your free articles access, and it's replete with paywalls. And you've got pop ups and push notifications and cookies. Disclaimers. Oh, at no other time in history has it been more vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that actually adds no hype value to your life? See, this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of hours myself. It's got a dash of humor and it's to the point to get the letter. It couldn't be more simple text to 66866. And when you start the free newsletter, you'll also get my one hour fast real estate course completely free. It's called the Don't Quit Your Day dream letter and it wires your mind for wealth. Speaker 1 (00:01:17) - Make sure you read it text to 66866. Text 266866. Speaker 2 (00:01:29) - You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Speaker 1 (00:01:45) - We're going to go from Roxbury, Connecticut to Roxbury, Wisconsin, and across 188 nations worldwide. This is get rich education. I'm Keith Weinhold, GRE founder host of this very show since 2014, longtime real estate investor and Forbes Real Estate Council member. In fact, check out my latest article in Forbes for my work in research on the housing market. What we do here is by investment property with the bank's money, pay the debt with the tenants money, and then well, that's about it. In a sense. We enjoy life mostly. There will be some bumps along the way. The devil is in the details. Yeah, all those sus vibes that you got from the housing price apocalypse, doomsday, YouTubers. All of those vibes you had are validated by now. Just in time for a sweater weather. Respected research firm CoreLogic released their report with end of quarter housing stats nationwide. Speaker 1 (00:02:52) - Home prices still haven't fallen. There was a healthy 4.5% in September of this year compared to September of last year. Yes, these real estate numbers always run behind a little bit. Well, that 4.5% increase that even includes distressed sales. And that is the fastest growth rate in quite a few months. And again, this is primarily due to a robust job market spiked inflation and housing inventory lows that just keep scraping along the sea bottom floor. So these fundamental reasons for continued home price support, I mean, it's the same stuff I've emphasized for over two years, even as I stated prominently back on television in November of 2021. And although that was avant garde at the time, it's really not in my personality to get smug until the incessant rumors today I told you so or anything like that. Well, the highest price gains this past year. They were concentrated in places that had, I suppose, the best autumn foliage this year, that is, most northeastern states. They are the big gainers now. There were some price declines in a few places. Speaker 1 (00:04:08) - They were felt in just four western states and D.C. the four western states were Utah, Idaho, Montana and Wyoming. Now, see, in the pandemic, those states prices, they stretched broader than basketball star Victor Wembanyama. And today they are mildly correcting. But back to the base case here. The 46 of 50 states which experienced appreciation oven mitts are needed to handle the three hottest states led by Maine 10%, Connecticut also at 10%, and new Jersey, with a 9% gain. And when you break that down in the metro area, it was Miami that led with soaring 8.5% appreciation. And it's interesting are core investment areas of the Midwest in southeast, which I call the stable markets. They lived up to that moniker again, they appreciated moderately during the pandemic and still appreciating moderately today. And as we approach winter, expect home price depreciation to have its seasonal slowdown. That's what tends to happen each year. In fact, there's a slowdown in sales of volume two. There are just so few homes on the market, but it has gotten really slow lately. Speaker 1 (00:05:28) - Now, I do like CoreLogic, the supplier of this information. They contribute their single family rent index to our industry. And that's so valuable because most rent data that you find out there is about apartments. CoreLogic predicts further home price appreciation over the next year of 2.6%. And similarly, the Nar. They expect home prices to rise 2.6% next year. Now, next month, you will hear me. Release gives home price appreciation forecasts right here on the show, and you're also going to learn how accurate my forecast was for this year that I made last year. Now, just last month, I made an in-person field trip to Cash Flow Country, the Midwestern United States. You've got some income property providers there that are still steadily sourcing properties to investors like you. But, you know, there are a few now where they're not even doing that lately because some providers are having trouble making the numbers work for you, the investor. Lik
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